Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.434681 6.265968 7.179683 8.258262 9.496518 10.873543 12.521166
2024-12-22 4.244117 5.321454 6.605252 8.246979 10.290347 12.749966 15.936537
2024-12-29 3.671202 4.954355 6.595443 8.846215 11.852184 15.728661 21.110418
2025-01-05 3.162094 4.559777 6.464822 9.247360 13.206171 18.636523 26.656812
2025-01-12 2.673167 4.095082 6.148876 9.325600 14.112638 21.057268 31.905755
2025-01-19 2.163636 3.504919 5.548699 8.881368 14.176142 22.262778 35.562571
2025-01-26 1.947096 3.319509 5.515483 9.273248 15.538325 25.565611 42.847861
2025-02-02 1.817485 3.248672 5.644595 9.931405 17.403805 29.890913 52.361509
2025-02-09 1.635452 3.056585 5.539118 10.171124 18.590039 33.240366 60.692162
2025-02-16 1.464728 2.855193 5.383629 10.291497 19.569973 36.342808 68.989700
2025-02-23 1.269626 2.576412 5.045470 10.022219 19.790476 38.100329 75.051180
2025-03-02 1.091849 2.302355 4.674611 9.631235 19.713731 39.275443 80.133522
2025-03-09 0.994103 2.178774 4.587244 9.804567 20.804633 42.896995 90.658082
2025-03-16 0.871099 1.982955 4.326299 9.585461 21.069840 44.927971 98.273415
2025-03-23 0.831316 1.961498 4.425969 10.145091 23.054521 50.741720 114.645471
2025-03-30 0.779307 1.904069 4.439253 10.516774 24.683431 56.020752 130.609071
2025-04-06 0.708594 1.791429 4.312384 10.550791 25.556211 59.764871 143.667050
2025-04-13 0.610361 1.596115 3.965682 10.016440 25.028742 60.286377 149.357798
2025-04-20 0.580613 1.567162 4.010760 10.436557 26.848170 66.478136 169.399403
2025-04-27 0.569064 1.583359 4.168885 11.162002 29.525130 75.061973 196.489285
2025-05-04 0.534109 1.531500 4.147261 11.421988 31.055962 81.039723 217.847733
2025-05-11 0.496368 1.465830 4.080056 11.551255 32.263340 86.360967 238.246618
2025-05-18 0.444348 1.351180 3.864976 11.245976 32.259172 88.555143 250.648625